Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | MICH -7500 M-OH +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +27 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -20.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -18.4 (+8.6) | 143.9 (+17.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -19.4 (+7.6) | 145.8 (+15.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -17.4 (+9.6) | 145.8 (+15.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -17.5 (+9.5) | 145.5 (+15.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-4 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-1 |
| Away | 7-3 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 7-4 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#30) | -2.2 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#146) | -0.48 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#141) | -1.12 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#58) | 0.322 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.6% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 40.5% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.3% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 24.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 12.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.7% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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