Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Brown Bears
89 70
FINAL College Hill Classic
Sacred Heart Pioneers
Pizzitola Sports Center · November 17, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread BRWN -8.5 Home covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money BRWN -400 / SHU +300
Model Predictions
Spread Total BRWN win
Actual BRWN +19 159 Won
Massey BRWN -10.3 (+8.7)
Massey Totals 142.6 (+16.4)
Bradley-Terry 76%
Weighted B-T 84%
Baseline Plus ML BRWN -7.0 (+12.0) 140.7 (+18.3) 68%
Baseline ML BRWN -6.7 (+12.3) 140.5 (+18.5) 73%
Baseline Tuned ML BRWN -6.6 (+12.4) 140.8 (+18.2) 71%
Efficiency Plus ML BRWN -8.1 (+10.9) 141.1 (+17.9) 73%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 5, 2021 BRWN 7966 SHU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BRWN SHU
Overall 14-13 15-18
Conference 6-8 10-10
Home 8-6 8-5
Away 6-7 5-11
Neutral 0-0 2-2
Last 5 1-3 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 71.2 75.1
Avg Pts Against 72.2 75.7
Massey -1.6 (#205) -4.6 (#261)
Bradley-Terry -2.42 (#342) -2.07 (#329)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.47 (#340) -3.24 (#335)
RPI 0.324 (#328) 0.304 (#336)
Shooting & Four Factors BRWN SHU
FG% 43.5% 42.2%
3PT% 32.9% 37.5%
REB / G 39.0 34.2
OREB / G 12.0 10.8
AST / TO 0.79 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 49.2%
TOV% 18.9% 17.8%
ORB% 33.0% 29.0%
FT Rate 25.3% 19.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 41.6% 57.1%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 18.3%
DRB% 63.8% 70.5%
Opp FT Rate 25.0% 30.4%

Game Analysis

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