Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SJSU +225 UCSB -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +5 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSB -18.8 (+13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (-32.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UCSB -8.7 (+3.7) | 143.7 (-20.7) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -13.0 (+8.0) | 145.0 (-22.0) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -13.0 (+8.0) | 143.8 (-20.8) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | UCSB 85 – 74 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 7-9 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#340) | 15.2 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.81 (#361) | 2.57 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.83 (#362) | 3.90 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.271 (#344) | 0.771 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 52.5% |
| 3PT% | 25.5% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 29.3 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.1% | 62.5% |
| TOV% | 10.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 20.4% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 38.6% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 43.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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