Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | MD +145 WASH -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +4 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -7.8 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -4.3 (+8.3) | 139.2 (-15.2) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -4.4 (+8.4) | 140.0 (-16.0) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -5.1 (+9.1) | 139.2 (-15.2) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -5.2 (+9.2) | 141.0 (-17.0) | 28% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2025 | WASH 75 – 69 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 7-13 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#141) | 12.2 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#104) | 1.31 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#99) | 2.00 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#160) | 0.535 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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