Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | NAVY -280 CAM +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAVY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +20 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | NAVY -6.4 (-26.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -3.8 (-23.8) | 139.2 (+12.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -5.5 (-25.5) | 142.7 (+9.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -4.6 (-24.6) | 142.6 (+9.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAVY -3.0 (-23.0) | 135.6 (+16.4) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | CAM 59 – 48 NAVY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAVY | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 6-12 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#292) | -5.4 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#270) | -2.28 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#270) | -2.60 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#245) | 0.365 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAVY | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 26.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.6% | 59.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 81.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.7% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.