Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | WMU -230 CAN +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +23 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | WMU -5.9 (+17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -5.0 (+18.0) | 135.4 (+25.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -4.4 (+18.6) | 137.9 (+23.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -4.2 (+18.8) | 138.1 (+22.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WMU -4.0 (+19.0) | 137.4 (+23.6) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 3-17 |
| Home | 6-9 | 1-12 |
| Away | 6-10 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#317) | -7.0 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#325) | -1.71 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.73 (#319) | -2.29 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.354 (#306) | 0.405 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 31.3% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 18.0% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 26.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 33.8% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 10.9% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 32.4% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.1% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 81.0% | 61.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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