Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | FLA -340 TTU +265 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +5 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -4.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -5.5 (-0.5) | 158.2 (+4.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -3.4 (+1.6) | 152.9 (+10.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -5.1 (-0.1) | 155.1 (+7.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -5.0 (+0.0) | 157.7 (+5.3) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-4 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 15-5 |
| Home | 15-1 | 15-3 |
| Away | 7-3 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 14-0 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.8 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 24.9 (#4) | 20.2 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.84 (#1) | 3.13 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.22 (#1) | 4.00 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.654 (#3) | 0.601 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 41.9 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 39.0% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.