Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -27.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | SF -40000 CHST +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +45 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | SF -29.7 (+15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-33.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -29.9 (+15.1) | 152.1 (-33.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -29.8 (+15.2) | 149.7 (-30.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -23.7 (+21.3) | 148.5 (-29.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -25.2 (+19.8) | 149.6 (-30.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 4-12 |
| Home | 17-2 | 3-7 |
| Away | 5-5 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#51) | -14.5 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#89) | -2.40 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#92) | -3.76 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#74) | 0.372 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.0% | 34.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 39.3% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 36.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.