I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
Arena-Auditorium · November 17, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WYO -10.5 Home covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money WYO -650 / UTU +425
Model Predictions
Spread Total WYO win
Actual WYO +17 155 Won
Massey WYO -10.7 (+6.3)
Massey Totals 138.3 (+16.7)
Bradley-Terry 95%
Weighted B-T 98%
Baseline Plus ML WYO -6.2 (+10.8) 137.8 (+17.2) 76%
Baseline ML WYO -8.4 (+8.6) 140.4 (+14.6) 75%
Baseline Tuned ML WYO -7.7 (+9.3) 140.2 (+14.8) 74%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WYO UTU
Overall 12-20 7-26
Conference 5-15 2-14
Home 8-7 5-8
Away 3-10 0-16
Neutral 1-3 2-2
Last 5 1-1 0-2
Streak L5 L1
Avg Pts For 65.8 68.2
Avg Pts Against 70.7 76.9
Massey -6.4 (#293) -9.8 (#333)
Bradley-Terry -0.17 (#198) -1.63 (#309)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.32 (#198) -2.34 (#304)
RPI 0.458 (#224) 0.500 (#178)
Shooting & Four Factors WYO UTU
FG% 43.6% 32.5%
3PT% 37.5% 22.4%
REB / G 33.5 33.5
OREB / G 13.0 10.5
AST / TO 0.64 1.28
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.1% 38.0%
TOV% 25.7% 13.0%
ORB% 35.1% 24.7%
FT Rate 20.0% 26.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.8% 54.5%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 17.4%
DRB% 61.2% 63.9%
Opp FT Rate 23.3% 19.0%

Game Analysis

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