Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -800 FGCU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +2 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -13.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -12.1 (-10.1) | 124.0 (+0.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -15.7 (-13.7) | 133.1 (-9.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -13.9 (-11.9) | 132.7 (-8.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-5 |
| Away | 9-1 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#115) | -3.5 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#139) | -1.72 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#143) | -2.40 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#261) | 0.347 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 45.5% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.5% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 27.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 12.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 31.6% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 55.9% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.