Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | VCU -20000 L-MD +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +26 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -17.8 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (+3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -14.1 (+11.9) | 134.9 (+5.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -17.1 (+8.9) | 133.3 (+6.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -15.1 (+10.9) | 133.2 (+6.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -18.5 (+7.5) | 135.5 (+4.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-3 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#37) | -0.1 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#32) | -0.47 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.33 (#29) | -0.64 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.764 (#11) | 0.447 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 37.3% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.3% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.