Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -230 YALE +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +3 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -3.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -4.1 (-1.1) | 137.4 (-22.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -4.8 (-1.8) | 137.9 (-22.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -3.8 (-0.8) | 138.6 (-23.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -1.6 (+1.4) | 132.9 (-17.9) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 13-1 |
| Home | 10-9 | 11-0 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 80.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#171) | 5.0 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#200) | -0.51 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#194) | -0.64 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#187) | 0.347 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 32.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.