Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SBU -3500 LEM +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +19 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -30.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.5 (-34.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -22.3 (-3.3) | 149.2 (-26.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -21.6 (-2.6) | 149.9 (-26.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -26.7 (-7.7) | 150.9 (-27.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -26.8 (-7.8) | 148.3 (-25.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | SBU 92 – 81 LEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 81.4 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#24) | -10.5 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#16) | -2.03 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.36 (#22) | -2.98 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#118) | 0.375 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 32.0% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 57.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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