Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -28.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -10000 IDHO +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +24 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -25.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -27.6 (-3.6) | 150.6 (+15.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -26.7 (-2.7) | 149.6 (+16.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -20.2 (+3.8) | 147.5 (+18.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -24.4 (-0.4) | 150.7 (+15.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#23) | -5.4 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#42) | -2.23 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#52) | -3.14 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.667 (#53) | 0.333 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 49.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.85 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.5% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 44.4% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 11.8% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 82.6% | 62.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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