Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | VAN -100000 JKST +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +13 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -29.3 (-16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+24.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -28.8 (-15.8) | 150.2 (+24.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -30.8 (-17.8) | 148.4 (+26.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -23.2 (-10.2) | 147.2 (+27.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -20.8 (-7.8) | 148.2 (+26.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-1 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-15 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#53) | -13.2 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#69) | -1.19 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#69) | -1.72 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#88) | 0.444 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 32.9% |
| 3PT% | 21.4% | 25.4% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 28.3 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.67 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 37.7% |
| TOV% | 8.2% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 67.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 84.9% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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