You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
JMA Wireless Dome · November 16, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SYR -12.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Over
Money SYR -800 / YSU +550
Model Predictions
Spread Total SYR win
Actual SYR +9 199 Won
Massey YSU -0.6 (+9.6)
Massey Totals 144.0 (+55.0)
Bradley-Terry 76%
Weighted B-T 74%
Baseline Plus ML SYR -0.9 (+8.1) 148.0 (+51.0) 56%
Baseline ML SYR -1.7 (+7.3) 139.4 (+59.6) 57%
Baseline Tuned ML SYR -1.5 (+7.5) 139.7 (+59.3) 53%
Efficiency Plus ML SYR -0.8 (+8.2) 140.5 (+58.5) 59%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SYR YSU
Overall 14-19 21-13
Conference 7-13 13-7
Home 11-6 10-5
Away 2-9 9-6
Neutral 1-4 2-2
Last 5 2-0 1-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.7 73.7
Avg Pts Against 77.8 72.6
Massey -7.7 (#317) 1.2 (#149)
Bradley-Terry 0.54 (#139) 1.04 (#93)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.43 (#153) 1.53 (#92)
RPI 0.396 (#270) 0.613 (#84)
Shooting & Four Factors SYR YSU
FG% 43.7% 33.6%
3PT% 26.7% 19.5%
REB / G 45.5 39.0
OREB / G 15.5 15.5
AST / TO 1.89 0.73
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.9% 37.0%
TOV% 12.2% 18.5%
ORB% 35.6% 35.6%
FT Rate 16.9% 32.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.1% 48.3%
Opp TOV% 15.0% 18.7%
DRB% 83.3% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 19.0% 23.9%

Game Analysis

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