Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | COLU -1800 MERC +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +14 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | COLU -12.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -9.3 (+4.7) | 140.4 (-0.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -9.2 (+4.8) | 138.2 (+1.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -8.5 (+5.5) | 139.3 (+0.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -6.8 (+7.2) | 138.4 (+1.6) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | MERC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 9-7 |
| Home | 9-6 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L7 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#98) | 0.5 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.95 (#5) | 1.04 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.07 (#9) | 1.29 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.621 (#83) | 0.519 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | MERC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.2% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 59.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 34.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.