Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | MORG -320 NJIT +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +12 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | MORG -19.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -10.6 (+1.4) | 133.0 (+17.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -12.4 (-0.4) | 136.0 (+14.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -12.4 (-0.4) | 137.3 (+12.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2023 | NJIT 69 – 53 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORG | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 3-13 |
| Home | 11-4 | 4-9 |
| Away | 2-13 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#310) | -18.6 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#335) | -3.42 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.96 (#336) | -4.61 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#254) | 0.217 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORG | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 20.0% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.51 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 26.3% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 40.0% | 19.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 10.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 42.6% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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