Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | CREI -10000 KC +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +23 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -22.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (-15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -23.8 (-0.8) | 141.4 (-6.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -27.7 (-4.7) | 145.5 (-10.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -20.0 (+3.0) | 143.5 (-8.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 4-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#49) | -6.6 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#62) | -0.54 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#53) | -0.85 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#108) | 0.500 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.0% | 33.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 25.8% |
| REB / G | 43.7 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.8% | 40.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 23.8% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 33.5% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.4% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 10.8% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 60.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 9.8% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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