Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | KU -20000 OAK +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +21 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | KU -22.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -21.2 (-0.2) | 137.4 (-2.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -23.7 (-2.7) | 134.9 (+0.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -18.2 (+2.8) | 134.6 (+0.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -15.9 (+5.1) | 134.6 (+0.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#45) | -5.4 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#30) | -0.87 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#36) | -1.30 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.824 (#8) | 0.340 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 31.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 13.7% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.96 | 0.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 34.9% |
| TOV% | 12.5% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 11.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 60.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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