Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA -10000 LEH +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +40 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -21.9 (+18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -23.9 (+16.1) | 133.3 (-3.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -23.9 (+16.1) | 132.4 (-2.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -19.0 (+21.0) | 132.6 (-2.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -23.1 (+16.9) | 135.5 (-5.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#31) | -3.3 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#104) | -0.77 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#61) | -0.99 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#122) | 0.524 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 26.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.7% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 30.8% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 57.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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