Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | ORST -1000 CSUF +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +19 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | ORST -20.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (-14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -20.0 (-1.0) | 132.1 (-11.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -20.9 (-1.9) | 133.7 (-12.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -18.3 (+0.7) | 133.0 (-12.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 1-19 |
| Home | 15-3 | 4-11 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 62.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#92) | -7.4 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#128) | -1.10 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#127) | -1.63 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#179) | 0.505 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 26.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 0.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 41.2% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 42.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.9% | 60.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 60.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.