Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | NU -6000 EIU +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +9 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | NU -35.8 (-26.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-28.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -32.8 (-23.8) | 148.7 (-23.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -32.7 (-23.7) | 148.7 (-23.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -24.9 (-15.9) | 147.5 (-22.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -27.6 (-18.6) | 145.1 (-20.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2021 | NU 80 – 56 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 12.6 (#17) | -14.9 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#130) | -0.52 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#123) | -0.63 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.648 (#64) | 0.569 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 14.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 13.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 63.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 79.8% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
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