And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Robert Morris Colonials
67 53
FINAL Urban-Bennett Invitational
Lindenwood Lions
UPMC Events Center · November 16, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -6.5 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money RMU -280 / LIN +220
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +14 120 Won
Massey RMU -18.5 (-4.5)
Massey Totals 151.7 (-31.7)
Bradley-Terry 98%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML RMU -12.2 (+1.8) 146.4 (-26.4) 85%
Baseline ML RMU -14.0 (+0.0) 144.8 (-24.8) 86%
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -12.1 (+1.9) 144.1 (-24.1) 87%
Efficiency Plus ML RMU -12.5 (+1.5) 142.1 (-22.1) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU LIN
Overall 26-9 16-17
Conference 15-5 10-10
Home 16-2 11-3
Away 8-6 3-12
Neutral 2-1 2-2
Last 5 1-2 0-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.9 68.3
Avg Pts Against 71.6 74.2
Massey -3.9 (#254) -14.0 (#353)
Bradley-Terry -0.39 (#215) -2.73 (#350)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.59 (#213) -4.53 (#355)
RPI 0.502 (#178) 0.281 (#328)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU LIN
FG% 36.1% 39.8%
3PT% 29.8% 19.6%
REB / G 40.7 34.0
OREB / G 13.0 13.5
AST / TO 0.69 0.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 40.8% 43.6%
TOV% 19.3% 17.4%
ORB% 31.5% 31.8%
FT Rate 28.9% 13.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.0% 59.4%
Opp TOV% 17.3% 19.7%
DRB% 81.4% 62.1%
Opp FT Rate 25.1% 24.6%

Game Analysis

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