Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | ODU -800 UMES +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +2 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | ODU -2.0 (-0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.9 (-21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -0.4 (+1.6) | 150.6 (-6.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -2.0 (-0.0) | 155.3 (-11.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -1.2 (+0.8) | 155.6 (-11.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -0.9 (+1.1) | 149.2 (-5.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | ODU 84 – 65 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 2-12 |
| Home | 7-9 | 5-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -14.8 (#355) | -8.4 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.42 (#360) | -1.34 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.50 (#354) | -1.98 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.319 (#318) | 0.361 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.56 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 13.5% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.1% | 58.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 8.9% |
| DRB% | 60.0% | 61.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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