Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -290 WASH +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +6 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -7.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -7.0 (-1.0) | 158.5 (+5.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -6.7 (-0.7) | 156.7 (+7.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -6.7 (-0.7) | 157.8 (+6.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -6.6 (-0.6) | 160.1 (+3.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | IOWA 84 – 74 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 4-16 |
| Home | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.5 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#59) | 5.2 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#66) | 1.12 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#60) | 1.47 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#123) | 0.525 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.85 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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