Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | OU -400 LSU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +3 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | OU -5.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -7.2 (-10.2) | 149.7 (+11.3) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -7.3 (-10.3) | 147.4 (+13.6) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OU -6.5 (-9.5) | 147.8 (+13.2) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -6.9 (-9.9) | 148.2 (+12.8) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | OU 83 – 67 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 3-15 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-7 |
| Away | 2-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.3 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#52) | 8.8 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#23) | 1.38 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.39 (#30) | 1.73 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#56) | 0.516 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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