Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -25.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | SJU -100000 WAG +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +21 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -24.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-39.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -21.9 (-0.9) | 145.9 (-34.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -25.5 (-4.5) | 145.9 (-34.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -18.9 (+2.1) | 143.4 (-32.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-5 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 6-10 |
| Home | 19-0 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-2 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 57.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 63.0 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#34) | -4.7 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#48) | -0.43 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#49) | -0.64 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.688 (#48) | 0.500 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 34.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 38.9% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 4.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 88.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.