Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | USD +115 PRST -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +9 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | USD -0.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USD -5.2 (-14.2) | 143.0 (+18.0) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USD -2.8 (-11.8) | 146.3 (+14.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USD -1.7 (-10.7) | 148.3 (+12.7) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2023 | USD 69 – 65 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-27 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 11-7 |
| Home | 5-13 | 13-1 |
| Away | 0-12 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#312) | 3.7 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#337) | -0.35 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.27 (#324) | -0.40 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.283 (#286) | 0.625 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 44.4% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 57.4% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 65.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 25.9% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 55.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 43.9% |
Game Analysis
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