Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -6000 QUC +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +31 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -17.7 (+13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -15.7 (+15.3) | 144.2 (+16.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -13.5 (+17.5) | 148.3 (+12.7) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 1-9 | 9-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#48) | 0.7 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#122) | 0.47 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#111) | 0.64 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#125) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 31.4% |
| 3PT% | 43.2% | 25.8% |
| REB / G | 43.5 | 51.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 17.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.26 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 66.4% | 37.1% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.3% | 33.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 13.4% |
Game Analysis
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