Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | RICE -650 ULM +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +16 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -15.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-31.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -9.1 (+6.9) | 143.4 (-27.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -9.6 (+6.4) | 144.2 (-28.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -8.8 (+7.2) | 142.7 (-26.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 3-15 |
| Home | 7-8 | 5-11 |
| Away | 4-8 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#242) | -7.7 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#241) | -0.68 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#249) | -0.97 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#250) | 0.500 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 34.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 39.8% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 40.0% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.2% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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