Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -7500 EKU +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +13 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -14.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (-19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -14.7 (-1.7) | 148.6 (-11.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -11.9 (+1.1) | 149.0 (-12.0) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-3 |
| Away | 9-3 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#40) | 5.0 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#68) | 1.80 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#64) | 2.44 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#100) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.7% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 47.9% | 48.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 63.2% | 59.0% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 38.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.0% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 46.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 32.8% |
Game Analysis
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