Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | SC -380 TOW +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +26 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | SC -10.5 (+15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -10.9 (+15.1) | 138.5 (-4.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -11.2 (+14.8) | 137.1 (-3.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -8.3 (+17.7) | 139.9 (-5.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 16-2 |
| Home | 10-8 | 12-1 |
| Away | 1-10 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#161) | 1.5 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#261) | -0.40 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#230) | -0.49 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.658 (#68) | 0.500 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 10.4% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 54.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.0% | 40.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.