Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | M-OH -5000 UMES +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +18 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -13.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -7.7 (+10.3) | 149.4 (+8.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -9.5 (+8.5) | 149.3 (+8.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -8.3 (+9.7) | 149.1 (+8.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -8.1 (+9.9) | 145.8 (+12.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 2-12 |
| Home | 15-1 | 5-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#251) | -6.1 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#200) | -0.51 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#244) | -0.69 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.312 (#267) | 0.500 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 5.7% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 34.6% |
Game Analysis
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