Betting Lines
| Spread | INST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | INST -280 SIUE +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | INST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +5 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | INST -3.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | INST -0.3 (-5.3) | 141.7 (+7.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | INST -2.3 (-7.3) | 143.1 (+5.9) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2025 | INST 64 – 55 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | INST | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 13-7 |
| Home | 8-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.5 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#342) | -3.9 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#305) | -0.66 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#309) | -0.90 (#264) |
| RPI | — | 0.500 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | INST | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 32.8% | 32.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 22.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 17.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 36.5% |
| TOV% | 25.4% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 19.1% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 14.1% | 9.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 64.8% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 78.8% | 61.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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