Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | LAS -130 COR +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +16 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | LAS -17.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (+18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -16.8 (-0.8) | 143.3 (+26.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -12.6 (+3.4) | 148.0 (+22.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-5 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-10 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 83.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#104) | -3.0 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#75) | 0.50 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#75) | 0.48 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.688 (#55) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 46.0 | 44.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 38.0% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 33.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 82.3% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 8.6% | 42.4% |
Game Analysis
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