Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | KU -250 MSU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | MSU -3.7 (+11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSU -2.0 (+10.0) | 155.1 (-9.1) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSU -2.0 (+10.0) | 147.2 (-1.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSU -0.2 (+8.2) | 145.7 (+0.3) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2021 | KU 87 – 74 MSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 30-7 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 17-3 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-8 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 7-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#113) | 7.0 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#76) | 0.56 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#88) | 0.75 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.688 (#55) | 0.438 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.5% | 50.8% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 46.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 15.5 |
| AST / TO | 2.11 | 1.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.1% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 12.4% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 43.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 39.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.