Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | WVU -135 STAN +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +5 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -0.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (+28.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -0.0 (+5.0) | 136.9 (+22.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -0.6 (+5.6) | 134.9 (+24.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -0.2 (+4.8) | 135.1 (+23.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -0.1 (+4.9) | 137.2 (+21.8) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#58) | 9.6 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#62) | 1.70 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#52) | 2.06 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#115) | 0.561 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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