Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -25.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA -40000 BU +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +31 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -26.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (-24.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -23.8 (+7.2) | 134.1 (-23.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -24.9 (+6.1) | 133.2 (-22.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -21.2 (+9.8) | 132.5 (-21.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -20.3 (+10.7) | 127.1 (-16.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#70) | -9.9 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#126) | -3.05 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#82) | -4.40 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.698 (#52) | 0.094 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 38.7% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 11.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 62.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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