Why don't you get back into bed. "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Lloyd Noble Center · November 12, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread OU -25.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money OU -10000 / NWST +2000
Model Predictions
Spread Total OU win
Actual OU +16 130 Won
Massey OU -18.5 (-2.5)
Massey Totals 148.7 (-18.7)
Bradley-Terry 95%
Weighted B-T 98%
Baseline ML OU -21.5 (-5.5) 145.0 (-15.0) 89%
Baseline Tuned ML OU -17.6 (-1.6) 146.2 (-16.2) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 10, 2021 OU 7759 NWST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OU NWST
Overall 20-14 16-16
Conference 6-12 12-8
Home 12-5 9-5
Away 2-7 6-11
Neutral 6-2 1-0
Last 5 1-0 0-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 78.3 65.4
Avg Pts Against 74.6 69.0
Massey 7.3 (#49) -0.1 (#176)
Bradley-Terry 0.50 (#136) -0.42 (#214)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.75 (#126) -0.58 (#212)
RPI 0.500 (#106)
Shooting & Four Factors OU NWST
FG% 52.3% 37.3%
3PT% 41.2% 44.4%
REB / G 43.0 35.0
OREB / G 11.0 14.0
AST / TO 1.92 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 63.1% 44.1%
TOV% 16.2% 17.8%
ORB% 35.5% 34.1%
FT Rate 16.9% 22.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 38.5% 56.1%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 13.1%
DRB% 74.4% 65.6%
Opp FT Rate 15.4% 38.6%

Game Analysis

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