Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -32.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | MD N/A FAMU +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +31 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | MD -34.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MD -33.0 (-2.0) | 146.0 (-9.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -25.0 (+6.0) | 147.1 (-10.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 17-2 | 9-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.1 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#22) | -13.3 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#83) | -0.73 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#80) | -1.08 (#276) |
| RPI | — | 0.500 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 36.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 46.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 11.2% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 32.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.1% | 60.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.1% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 82.4% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
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