Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | PITT -7500 GWEB +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +19 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | PITT -12.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -15.5 (+3.5) | 148.8 (-1.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -14.0 (+5.0) | 150.2 (-3.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -10.9 (+8.1) | 148.3 (-1.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2020 | PITT 67 – 50 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 5-11 |
| Home | 13-4 | 5-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#29) | 8.0 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#70) | 1.38 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#69) | 2.06 (#41) |
| RPI | 1.000 (#1) | 0.550 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.4% | 56.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 0.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.2% | 60.5% |
| TOV% | 12.1% | 26.7% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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