Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -18.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | WVU -3500 NE +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +22 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -12.4 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -12.6 (+9.4) | 135.1 (-11.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -11.1 (+10.9) | 134.2 (-10.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -12.6 (+9.4) | 137.8 (-13.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -13.3 (+8.7) | 135.5 (-11.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-10 | 10-9 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 8-2 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-1 |
| Away | 7-2 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#44) | 1.9 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.32 (#10) | -0.16 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.72 (#13) | 0.40 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.694 (#9) | 0.514 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 40.9 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.4 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 39.6% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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