Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +5 | 181 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -10.9 (-15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 184.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -9.9 (-14.9) | 162.7 (+18.3) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -9.0 (-14.0) | 158.8 (+22.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -10.5 (-15.5) | 170.6 (+10.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -9.7 (-14.7) | 166.8 (+14.2) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-7 | 15-7 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 10-4 |
| Home | 4-3 | 10-1 |
| Away | 3-3 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 81.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#40) | 4.5 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#93) | 0.76 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#77) | 0.52 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#194) | 0.505 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 42.0% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 79.8% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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