Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | TENN -4500 JOES +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +36 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -27.2 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -24.3 (+11.7) | 149.9 (+18.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -23.2 (+12.8) | 152.7 (+15.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -29.8 (+6.2) | 147.7 (+20.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -27.5 (+8.5) | 146.2 (+21.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 5-15 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 3-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 3-3 |
| Away | 4-4 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.5 | 82.6 |
| Massey | 20.9 (#2) | -2.0 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#28) | -1.45 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.97 (#27) | -2.27 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.665 (#16) | 0.500 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.7% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.3% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.9% | 34.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.