Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | WYO -750 OMA +525 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +4 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -14.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -12.6 (-8.6) | 148.2 (+11.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -11.7 (-7.7) | 151.8 (+8.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -15.2 (-11.2) | 151.0 (+9.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -13.1 (-9.1) | 149.0 (+11.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 5-20 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 3-11 |
| Home | 7-5 | 1-5 |
| Away | 4-5 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#157) | -10.1 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#154) | -0.88 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#153) | -1.82 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#264) | 0.496 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 41.0% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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