Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
| Money | UTAH -4500 IDST +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +16 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -16.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -15.1 (+0.9) | 131.9 (+2.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -14.7 (+1.3) | 133.4 (+0.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -15.6 (+0.4) | 134.8 (-0.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2022 | UTAH 70 – 58 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-13 | 13-11 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 8-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-3 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 64.5 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#140) | -9.7 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#126) | -2.77 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#132) | -4.59 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#194) | 0.308 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.91 | 0.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 33.1% |
| ORB% | 38.5% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.4% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 60.4% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 8.5% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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