Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
| Money | IONA -430 MORG +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +11 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -15.0 (-26.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -9.8 (-20.8) | 141.9 (+13.1) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -8.5 (-19.5) | 141.9 (+13.1) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -11.7 (-22.7) | 144.0 (+11.0) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#119) | -6.5 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#90) | -2.40 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#92) | -3.27 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#150) | 0.181 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | MORG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 16.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 24.3% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 43.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.6% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.