Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -34.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +37 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -34.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (-28.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -21.7 (+15.3) | 137.7 (-24.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -22.8 (+14.2) | 139.9 (-26.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -25.7 (+11.3) | 135.6 (-22.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -28.2 (+8.8) | 133.7 (-20.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#15) | -12.9 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#8) | -3.32 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.31 (#4) | -5.10 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.792 (#7) | 0.240 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 36.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 6.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.7% | 25.9% |
| DRB% | 61.8% | 58.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 32.8% |
Game Analysis
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