Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | OSU -7000 MORE +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +33 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -25.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -16.7 (+16.3) | 140.4 (-19.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -16.0 (+17.0) | 136.7 (-15.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -18.7 (+14.3) | 138.7 (-17.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -17.4 (+15.6) | 140.5 (-19.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-10 | 23-8 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 17-3 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-1 |
| Away | 7-4 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 64.7 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#65) | -9.1 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#41) | -0.78 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#36) | -1.30 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.788 (#8) | 0.360 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 23.9% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 25.9% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 43.7% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 79.5% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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